David ManheimGrading 2022 PredictionsI have been busy, but I need to grade previous year predictions, so here goes — not all are graded or final, since we don’t have all of…4 min read·Jan 16, 2023----
David Manheim2022 PredictionsThis is where I predict things for the year. It’s a one-shot, but it both provides a clear public record of at least some of my…4 min read·Jan 4, 2022----
David ManheimGrading 2021 PredictionsPredictions are garbage unless they are checked. So how did I do this past year? (And cumulatively?)5 min read·Jan 2, 2022----
David ManheimScoring my 2020 PredictionsThis year definitely didn’t turn out the way I expected in January, but predictions predict the future, not what we thought. That’s kind…7 min read·Apr 7, 2021----
David ManheimYearly Predictions, 2021People should predict things, it’s crazy that more people don’t, yadda yadda yadda. But I will say this seems to be changing — more and…7 min read·Jan 4, 2021----
David ManheimMy Bets — An Updating ListIf you have a belief, you should be willing to bet. It’s useful as mechanism to ensure people’s claim aren’t empty signalling. It’s also…3 min read·Apr 5, 2020----
David ManheimDavid’s Predictions 2020!Well, it’s that time of year again, when most famous prognosticators around the world given imprecise and non-judge-able claims about what…6 min read·Jan 8, 2020--1--1
David ManheimScoring my 2019 PredictionsHere’s my Annual Review of my predictions for the year.8 min read·Dec 31, 2019----
David ManheimMy 2019 PredictionsI am once again making a yearly set of public predictions which I will publicly score early next year, as I did last year and the year…5 min read·Jan 13, 2019----
David Manheim2018 Predictions — Accuracy and ScoreOK, it’s (slightly after) that time of year again, and I need to make my new predictions. But you can’t improve unless you figure out how…6 min read·Jan 12, 2019----